Are Biopharma reagent companies sitting on a pile of gold (or at least poptarts)?

All opinions are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of Novo Nordisk

The recent news about the United States Government monitoring a great deal of both general and specific electronic data has had one beneficial outcome (or at least, one I feel is beneficial):  it has made more people aware of what can actually be done with data, and also that we’re leaving massive amounts of personal data out there that can be traced to the behavior of individuals or organizations.  A few months ago, the Seattle Times published an article describing the explosion of big data and how that can be leveraged in so many ways.

This led me to speculate, in a very out-there kind of way, about what kinds of data Biopharma companies produce and whether there’s any hidden value in that.  Now, certainly companies are very careful about communicating information to the outside world.  Contracts with collaborators routinely contain embargo clauses, and presentations and posters are carefully vetted by legal and communications departments.  So companies would appear to be covered there.  But what kinds of data are out there that might be available, maybe not freely, but in potentia, to an interested audience?

Let me digress for a moment about mergers.  Biopharma over the last few years has seen a flurry of merger and acquisition activity.  The big pharma deals, like Pfizer/Wyeth, and Merck/Schering-Plough, have gotten big press, but there has also been a lot of consolidation among reagent suppliers.  To take one example, I’ve shamelessly taken Life Technologies’ merger history off of Wikipedia and condensed it into this table (after the jump): Continue reading

More developments in autism prediction

All opinions are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of Novo Nordisk

A recent publication about efforts to find early indicators for autism recently came out in the journal Brain and reports an intriguing observation about brain size.  The researchers sought to identify whether Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) of the brains of infants and very young children could help to predict which children would go on to develop autism.  Like many pilot studies of this sort, the experiment was done simply by looking.  The researchers identified a cohort of newborn siblings of autistic children and also a control cohort without that risk factor and began taking MRI images of their brains at the age of between 6-9 months, and again at 12-15 months and 18-24 months.  Prior research has shown that having a sibling with autism greatly increases the probability that a child will also develop autism, so in this situation the expectation was that some of the sibling group would develop autism and researchers would retrospectively be able to look at the data collected during the study and identify MRI features that correlated with development of disease, should any exist.

The impetus behind this is that previous research has not shown any definitive behavioral clues in infants (6 months or younger) that predict the development of autism.  However, the earlier a child is diagnosed, the earlier behavioral interventions can be applied to help that child and his or her family cope with future challenges. Continue reading

Major League Baseball should be all over the quantified self movement

All opinions are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of Novo Nordisk

Baseball players break down.  Their performances fluctuate.  As a group there are some interesting generalities with respect to how pitching, hitting and fielding change with age.  But the error bars are huge.  There are many things we still don’t know about baseball players, about why one prospect hits the ground running and another flames out.  And we also don’t know if there is any way to know, since the task of putting together the skills needed to play major league baseball may be one of the most complex of the major sports, and understanding complexity is hard.

But it seems worthwhile to give it a try.

The Mystery of the Missing Ligament

Let’s talk about R.A. Dickey for a minute.  Not because he’s a highly interesting human being, although he is.  And not because he’s a knuckleballer, which is fun and interesting due to rarity and the entertaining sight of six foot athletes flailing at baseballs traveling with the flight path of a drunken small-nosed bat.  But rather because he was drafted in 1996 in the 1st round by the Texas Rangers, and only during his physical workup was it discovered that he was missing a key ligament in his arm.  The Ulnar Collateral Ligament (UCL), to be exact.  Without which, it is assumed, a pitcher cannot pitch. Continue reading

Why everyone should worry (more) about the bees

All opinions are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of Novo Nordisk.

Among my personal top list of things people really should be more worried about with respect to how we’re changing the environment, the decline of bees is close to number one.  On some days, like when I’m biting into a delicious Rainier cherry or a luscious peach, the decline of bees is number one.    And I’m not saying this topic hasn’t gotten any press or concern.  On the contrary, there’s been plenty.  I just also think it should have more.

So imagine the jolt to my already heightened sense of worry when I saw the following two studies.  This one, in Nature (abstract only, article behind a paywall), puts forth a theoretical model of what happens when a species goes “functionally extinct.”  By this, the authors mean the point at which the number of members of a given species in an ecosystem declines to the point that other species are affected and may themselves go fully extinct.  It turns out that in interconnected food webs, as a given species declines in numbers, it affects other species’ overall survival as well, and that most often the species going really and truly extinct is not the one initially declining.

I think of this situation as being kind of like playing in a massively multiplayer online role-playing game like Star Wars: The Old Republic, and you’re in a team with several others, each of whom has his or her role.  Often the healer of the party gets damaged quickly in a fight, but they’re not the first one to go down.  Instead, it’s the damage-dealing specialists who find themselves getting beat up and dying when the healing falters.  The team, the network, relies on every member functioning fully to succeed, and reducing performance by one part of the team can have unintended consequences.

Well, that was a tortured analogy.

But the point with respect to bees is how just the decline of bee populations alone may be having cascading effects on the ecosystems in which they operate.

Another take on the importance of different species and diversity in networks comes from this study in the Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) (abstract only, article behind a paywall).  In this situation, the researchers tested the idea that plant community and insect networks are robust enough to survive the loss of individual species.  They located subalpine meadow plots and carefully removed all members of a single pollinator species and asked what would happen.  Network robustness theory would suggest other pollinators would take the place of the removed species, which previously served a specific niche.  And this happened.  However, the overall health of the plant community nevertheless appeared potentially threatened since this meant pollinators carried more types of pollen, leading to less efficiency in pollinating any given plant species.

These studies are just two of many that describe the unexpected and unintended consequences of changes in ecosystem communities.  All kinds of changes.  Like the decline of frogs and other amphibians, which I also worry about.  My personal bias towards worrying about bees probably stems from my perception of the crucial role they play in so many functions, both for humankind in specific and ecosystems in general.  The Nature paper also suggests the scary thought that we might be missing the forest for the bees, and the real impact of bee declines has already happened in the extinction of other, interconnected species which we may never know about, because they might already be gone.

Pink mustaches, or, disruptive technologies meet the freeways of LA

All opinions are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of Novo Nordisk.

A recent article in the New York Times described the rise of rideshare services in cities across the US.  One of the more visible is Lyft, whose trademark is a happy, pink, fuzzy mustache attached to the front grill of a car for ridesharing.  The article described the conflict that’s going on between established taxi companies and this new kind of service which generally costs less than a taxi and is largely reliant on smartphone apps to match riders with drivers.

Since I’ve been reading Clayton Christensen’s The Innovator’s Dilemma, I thought it would be fun to try and frame these new transportation options in terms of his theories on sustainable versus disruptive change.  I believe the disruptive technology in this case is the ubiquity of smartphones and apps for connecting customers and vendors in decentralized ways versus central dispatching.  I think the situation qualifies as an emerging example of an innovator’s dilemma in a couple of ways. Continue reading